In our final champ check before the tourney tips off, six teams meet the eight basic characteristics of the last 13 champions:
- A one, two or three seed
- Member of a Power conference: ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-10 or SEC
- Either went to the previous year’s dance or have an All-American
- Led by a coach with more than five tourney trips and at least one Elite Eight run
- Averaging more than 73 points per game
- Allowing fewer than 73 points per game
- An average scoring margin of at least seven points per game
- A schedule among the 75 strongest in the country
The squads are: Arizona, Villanova, Kansas, Wisconsin, Michigan and Duke.
Another nine teams meet at least one of the possession-based champ tests. Since 2003, the worst a champion has performed on offense in terms of points per 100 possessions is 112.2. That number belongs to last year’s champ Louisville. And the worst a champ has been ranked on offense is 18th (both Louisville and UConn in 2013). On defense, the most points a champ has allowed per 100 possessions is 95.4; that would be North Carolina in 2009—and they were ranked 49th in the country (of course, there offensive efficiency was through the roof).
Here are the eight team an OE above 112.2 and a DE below 95.4:
- Wichita State
When it comes to efficiency test #2, the rankings comparison, there are eight teams that own top-18 offensive and top-49 defensive rankings. They are:
- Wichita State
- Michigan State
Villanova is the only team to meet all three champ criteria. Five teams pass two tests: Arizona, Kansas, Florida, Louisville and Wichita State.
There are nine teams that pass one of the three tests: Wisconsin, Michigan, Duke, Tennessee, Syracuse, Michigan State, UCLA and Pittsburgh.
Feeling any better about your odds of picking the champ?