I know what I said: only five models this season, tops. And now…well…there are 15. I’m out of control! As I mentioned in an earlier post, part of the reason I was able to deliver so many this year is that member Ryan Tressler took the Sunday night/Monday morning pressure off of me and filled out Seed Match-ups and Upset/Toss-up models. I also devised a much easier way to deliver the models.
So…we now have four more–under the Tips+ section and named “Bonus Models.” I went to Nate Silver’s 538 blog and filled out a bracket using his probabilities. I also have another bracket dialing up the impact of coaching on tourney outcomes. Then there’s a “Costanza” bracket, filled out under the assumption that, “if every instinct I have is wrong, then the opposite must be right.” Finally, I’ve submitted my Keeper bracket. Fair warning: I played it pretty close to the vest this year, aiming to win a smallish pool. And you should also know: I haven’t won a pool since 2005.
Just did a quick tally of the champions picked in the 15 brackets. Here’s what we got:
- Indiana – 5
- Louisville – 4
- Florida and Duke – 2
- Kansas and Gonzaga – 1
So, all the one seeds are represented, one two seed (Duke) and one three seed (Florida). If I had to pick a team that wasn’t on this list, I’d go with Ohio State. Anyone think differently?