Monthly Archives: December 2013

Duke earns conventional champ cred, but Arizona stands out

There hasn’t been a lot of movement over the holidays in our champ assessments. Based on  conventional champ criteria, 11 teams are in the running to cut down the nets. If you haven’t been following along, here’s a quick explanation. … Continue reading

Posted in Champ Credentials | 8 Comments

Numbers say the 2014 tourney will get crazy

Measuring tourney predictability by deviation from high-seed dominance Last year’s dance was the maddest tournament of the 64-team era. It capped the craziest four-year stretch in 29 years. How can I tell that? Because I devised a simple statistic to … Continue reading

Posted in Measuring Madness | 1 Comment

This week’s champ check, quality curve and efficiency report

In this post, I’m going to cover these three points in rapid-fire succession: Ten teams in the AP Top 20 have the stats of the last 13 champions. All of them appear are much less efficient than their historical counterparts. … Continue reading

Posted in Champ Credentials, Tourney Trends | 2 Comments

Florida out, North Carolina in this week’s list of potential champs

Last week, eight teams met all the criteria that the last 13 tournament champions possessed, and another two schools just missed due to soft schedules. This week, only seven teams have all the characteristics of tourney winners and three are … Continue reading

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Worst tourney teams of the 64-team era

Last week, I looked at the top performing schools in the modern tourney era, starting in 1985 when the dance went to a 64-team format. We saw that Duke was both the winningest and most decorated program, but Butler was … Continue reading

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Ten teams have champ cred…but how good are they?

Last week, only four teams met all the criteria that the last 13 tournament champions possessed, and another four schools just missed due to soft schedules. This week, eight teams have all the characteristics of tourney winners and two are … Continue reading

Posted in Champ Credentials, Measuring Madness | 6 Comments

Duke owns best tourney record, but are they the top performer?

For more than 20 years, Duke has reigned as the winningest tourney school of the 64-team era. Despite their win percentage dropping for a third straight dance, the Blue Devils still own the best tourney record. In fact, the top … Continue reading

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