Monthly Archives: March 2013

It’s official: Craziest…dance…EVER!

Wichita State’s upset of Ohio State has cemented the 2013 tourney as the maddest dance in the 64-team tourney era, dating back to 1985. Heading into today’s last two Elite Eight games, the Madometer deviates from perfect high seed dominance … Continue reading

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Model performance heading into Elite Eight

If you take a quick scan of the percentiles below, it looks like the stats models are performing pretty well this year. But the Elite Eight results will start to create separation among the 15 models. The biggest bracket killer … Continue reading

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We’re at the Elite Eight…and it’s still the craziest tourney ever!

The Madometer settled down a bit after the Sweet Sixteen, but at 21.6% madness, the 2013 tourney is still on pace to be the craziest dance of the 64-team era. Only the Midwest region, with #1 Louisville versus #2 Duke, … Continue reading

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After the round of 32, the Madometer reads record 23.4% insanity

It’s official: the tourney has gone absolutely Coastal! After three upsets in the round of 32, punctuated with the FGCU surprise over San Diego State, we’re now up to 10 shockers. That’s just three away from the record of 13. … Continue reading

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Mountain Worst…and coaching performance musings

Leading up to the 2013 tourney, I kept saying in all my interviews that the Mountain West teams would have to prove it to me before I went with them too deep in my bracket. After all, if you look … Continue reading

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Model performance: nothing spectacular, but most still in running

Heading into the second day of the round of 32, most of the bracket models posted under the Tips+ section still have a fighting chance of success. All but two of the models are above the 60th percentile–and even Final … Continue reading

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After the first day of the round of 32, the Madometer is still measuring well above record levels of insanity. The Wichita State upset of Gonzaga pushed it over the edge–and further cemented Mark Few’s reputation as a snakebit tourney … Continue reading

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2013 Madometer soars to record 25% insanity

Yesterday’s blood-letting drove the Madometer to new heights. The Minnesota upset-that-wasn’t-an-upset was foretold by practically every bracket model. There were signs that Cal could take UNLV, and even indications that LaSalle might upset Kansas State. But hardly any numbers liked … Continue reading

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Fixing Boyle’s PASE

Member Mark S. pointed out that I had the wrong PASE ¬†for coach Tad Boyle. I had him at -.170, but that’s former St. Joseph’s coach Jim Boyle’s PASE. Tad’s is +.455. It wouldn’t have affected any of the brackets … Continue reading

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After day 1, the Madometer is on record pace

The Harvard upset of New Mexico turned what was going to be a fairly tame first day into ¬†record-pace madness. In the Bad Coaches Region, a couple of all-time underachievers did not disappoint–by reliably disappointing. Jamie Dixon can’t drop much … Continue reading

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