Category Archives: Tourney Trends

2013 tourney trends: older teams, more experienced coaches…and mudfights!

Don’t you hate when people say, “This is a bit of an eye chart,” then proceed to explain said eye chart as if acknowledging it excuses the poor display? This is a bit of an eye chart. I just got … Continue reading

Posted in Bracket Tools, Tourney Trends | 4 Comments

Parity revisited: Comparing the quality of seed groups since 2004

I got a lot of email and comments on the mythbusting blog comparing the tourney performance of Power and non-Power conferences. A number of people rightfully took me to task on my claims that there were more Mid-Majors and Smalls … Continue reading

Posted in Tourney Trends | 1 Comment

Tourney Mythbusting: Does defense win the NCAA championship?

(This blog appeared originally in early December. I’ve updated it to reflect the current state of college hoops.) You’ve heard the old adage: defense wins championships. Does that apply to the NCAA tourney? If you look at the raw points … Continue reading

Posted in Tourney Trends | 6 Comments

Tourney Mythbusting: Do you need a deep bench to go deep in the tourney?

Every year, a handful of elite teams come into the tourney with super thin benches—and the experts never fail to fret over their chances to survive the rigors of March Madness. I have to admit: I’ve been guilty of scratching … Continue reading

Posted in Tourney Trends | 2 Comments

Tourney Mythbusting: Do experienced teams really do better in the dance?

I do a lot of blogs over the course of the season—so many it seems, that I forget ones I’ve done months ago. I already addressed the topic of team age and experience, way back on November 27, but I … Continue reading

Posted in Tourney Trends | 5 Comments

Tourney mythbusting: Have we really achieved college basketball parity?

Every time around this year, we hear the experts proclaim that parity has come to college basketball. In light of Gonzaga’s ascension to number one in the AP Top 25, it’s fitting to ask whether the declaration is true for … Continue reading

Posted in Tourney Trends | 8 Comments

Tourney mythbusting: Do you really need great guards to make a deep run?

When it comes to March Madness, college basketball experts say the darnedest things. How many of these bromides have you heard over the years by tourney pundits? “You need a great guard to do deep in the dance.” “There’s more … Continue reading

Posted in Tourney Trends | 3 Comments

Do teams with better road records overachieve in the tourney?

Three members have asked me in the last couple weeks about whether having a good road/neutral record has an impact on tourney performance. I finally got some time tonight to do a quick PASE analysis on the subject. I’m glad … Continue reading

Posted in Basic Concepts, Tourney Trends | 12 Comments

Why I ignore the RPI—and you should too

Over the last couple weeks, I’ve made a few side comments about the irrelevance of the Ratings Percentage Index, or RPI. I know that the NCAA Selection Committee uses the metric, to some extent, to determine who makes the dance … Continue reading

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BPI versus KenPom versus your Mom…

This year, ESPN has devised yet another system for rating college basketball teams. They tout it as an improvement over the RPI system that the Selection Committee uses to help determine seeding and the KenPom efficiency rankings, which remove game … Continue reading

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