Category Archives: Mythbuster

Mythbuster #7: “Seeding doesn’t matter anymore in the tournament”

I said that I wasn’t going to write another post before Selection Sunday. Then “Around the Horn” had a debate on whether getting a one seed was all that important. And later in the night, some other analyst proclaimed that … Continue reading

Posted in Mythbuster, Tourney Trends | 7 Comments

Mythbuster #6: “The best tourney teams are the ones who’ve been there before”

In Mythbuster #5, I examined the adage that veteran teams have an advantage in the dance. We saw that this wasn’t the case—at least for 1-6 “contender” seeds. Younger teams have been performing increasingly better over the 29 years of … Continue reading

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Mythbuster #5: “Veteran teams are better equipped for tourney success.”

We’re about 50 hours away from Selection Sunday. So that means we’re about 50 hours and one minute away from some college basketball pundit spouting a completely unsupported axiom about what it takes to make a deep tourney run. You’ll … Continue reading

Posted in Mythbuster | 6 Comments

Mythbuster #4: “You need a great guard to go deep in the dance.”

Over the next two weeks, you’ll hear a lot of noise about how important having a great guard is to March Madness success. Someone will invoke Trey Burke and show his shot against Kansas. You’ll hear Kemba Walker’s name. They’ll … Continue reading

Posted in Mythbuster, Tourney Trends | 8 Comments

Mythbuster #3: “To succeed in March, you need to be hot coming into the dance.”

I’ve heard three different basketball analysts this weekend proclaim, in one way or the other, that momentum was critical to tourney success. The value of pre-tournament momentum isn’t as clear-cut, however, as the pundits would lead you to believe. For … Continue reading

Posted in Mythbuster, Tourney Trends | 16 Comments

Mythbuster #2: “Defense wins championships.”

This year’s Super Bowl appeared to reconfirm the old axiom that defense trumps offense in championship games—at least on the gridiron. A few readers recently asked if this applied to the NCAA tourney and I promised to do a mythbuster … Continue reading

Posted in Key Factors, Mythbuster, Tourney Trends | 1 Comment

Mythbuster #1: “The tougher the schedule, the better the tourney.”

Remember back in the 2010-11 season, when Tom Izzo scheduled the world’s most grueling run of non-conferences games? The Spartans played Connecticut, Washington, Duke, Syracuse and Texas. They were 8-4 before they had even started the meat grinder of Big … Continue reading

Posted in Key Factors, Mythbuster, Tourney Trends | 5 Comments