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Peter Tiernan has been using stats to analyze March Madness for 22 years. He writes for CBSSports.com and has also contributed to ESPN.com and SI.com. His insights into the NCAA basketball tournament can help you build a better bracket.Sign-up questions? Click here.
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Category Archives: Measuring Madness
2013 Madometer settles to 21.2% after Louisville escapes Shockers
We nearly saw the ultimate Shocker last night, with Wichita State up 12 late into the second half. But Louisville pulled out their semi-final game…then Michigan sweated out a victory over Syracuse. That sets up a 1v4 title game. There … Continue reading
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2013 Madometer rises to 21.8% madness
After the Wolverines’ trouncing of Florida and tourney favorite Louisville’s beatdown of Duke, the Madometer ticked up to 21.8% deviation from higher seed dominance. Even if Louisville wins the championship, this reading can go no lower than 20.8%. That makes … Continue reading
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It’s official: Craziest…dance…EVER!
Wichita State’s upset of Ohio State has cemented the 2013 tourney as the maddest dance in the 64-team tourney era, dating back to 1985. Heading into today’s last two Elite Eight games, the Madometer deviates from perfect high seed dominance … Continue reading
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We’re at the Elite Eight…and it’s still the craziest tourney ever!
The Madometer settled down a bit after the Sweet Sixteen, but at 21.6% madness, the 2013 tourney is still on pace to be the craziest dance of the 64-team era. Only the Midwest region, with #1 Louisville versus #2 Duke, … Continue reading
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After the round of 32, the Madometer reads record 23.4% insanity
It’s official: the tourney has gone absolutely Coastal! After three upsets in the round of 32, punctuated with the FGCU surprise over San Diego State, we’re now up to 10 shockers. That’s just three away from the record of 13. … Continue reading
Posted in General News, Measuring Madness
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After the first day of the round of 32, the Madometer is still measuring well above record levels of insanity. The Wichita State upset of Gonzaga pushed it over the edge–and further cemented Mark Few’s reputation as a snakebit tourney … Continue reading
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2013 Madometer soars to record 25% insanity
Yesterday’s blood-letting drove the Madometer to new heights. The Minnesota upset-that-wasn’t-an-upset was foretold by practically every bracket model. There were signs that Cal could take UNLV, and even indications that LaSalle might upset Kansas State. But hardly any numbers liked … Continue reading
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After day 1, the Madometer is on record pace
The Harvard upset of New Mexico turned what was going to be a fairly tame first day into record-pace madness. In the Bad Coaches Region, a couple of all-time underachievers did not disappoint–by reliably disappointing. Jamie Dixon can’t drop much … Continue reading
Posted in General News, Measuring Madness
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How high will the 2013 Madometer go?
If you’re new to Bracket Science, you may not know about the Madometer. It’s a way of measuring the relative unpredictability of the tournament. The Madometer works by measuring the seed-position differences between actual winners and perfect high-seed success or … Continue reading
Posted in General News, Measuring Madness
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52-team Quality Curve says: “There will be blood!”
For the last couple months, I’ve been promising that I’d do a full Quality Curve of the top 52 teams in the tourney (the presumptive 1-13 seeds) once the brackets were set. I finally got around to it this morning—and … Continue reading
Posted in Measuring Madness, Upset Spotting
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