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Peter Tiernan has been using stats to analyze March Madness for 22 years. He writes for CBSSports.com and has also contributed to ESPN.com and SI.com. His insights into the NCAA basketball tournament can help you build a better bracket.Sign-up questions? Click here.
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Category Archives: Team Ratings
Are a$$-whoopings warning signs?
In the wake of Michigan’s meltdown in East Lansing last Tuesday and the Duke demolition in Miami, a couple of readers have asked whether tourney champions have ever suffered such thorough beat-downs in their pre-dance games. The answer is yes—and … Continue reading
Posted in Champ Credentials, General News, Team Ratings
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All-time top 25 tourney teams based on five performance factors
On January 6, I posted my rankings of the top 20 active tourney coaches. I figured it was time to do the same thing for the top tourney teams. As with the coaches, I’m basing my analysis on five factors: … Continue reading
Posted in Team Ratings
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Are Florida, Louisville and Michigan really that great?
After this year’s dance, I’ll have ten years of KenPom efficiency numbers in my Bracket Science database. That doesn’t exactly consistute a huge sample size, especially when compared to the 29 years I’ll have for other attributes like coaching, momentum, … Continue reading
Posted in General News, Team Ratings
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All-time underachieving tourney teams
In my December 11 post, I listed the tourney’s top ten overachieving teams based on performance against seed expectations (PASE). If you’re not familiar with the concept of PASE, it’s a calculation that measures a team’s actual and expected wins … Continue reading
Posted in Team Ratings
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Butler top overachieving school, Louisville makes big jump
In my first blog analyzing team performance, we learned that Duke owns the best record in the modern tourney era and has amassed the most hardware. You didn’t need a degree in bracket science to know that. Considering that Duke … Continue reading
Posted in Team Ratings
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Duke remains winningest tourney team
In my November 15 blog, I ranked the top ten winningest coaches of the modern tourney era. Mike Krzyzewski was the clear leader over Roy Williams, not just in terms of win percentage but also Final Four trips and championships. … Continue reading
Posted in Team Ratings
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